(To e published in Arabic for Arabi21)
If Donald Trump does indeed win the Republican party’s nomination for the presidency, it is entirely possible that America is on the brink of a political meltdown and widespread social unrest. Given the nature of Trump’s campaign rhetoric, his own personal character, and the thuggish quality of his supporters, I don’t think it is unrealistic to expect election day strife which could potentially stir violent division in its aftermath.
If, for instance, Trump supporters, either by direction or on their own initiative, choose to threaten key polling stations to dissuade Democratic party voters from showing up…which is quite conceivable, in my opinion…the results of the election will undoubtedly be contested if Trump wins. And, if this does or does not happen, and he is and Trump loses, I think we can assume that his followers will reject a Hillary Clinton win. Trump does not strike me as a gracious-concession-speech kind of guy, and I think it is safe to expect that he will encourage his supporters to oppose the election results. I doubt that losing the election will transform him from an irresponsible demagogue into a rational citizen; rather, he seems more likely to intensify his hate-mongering and incitement.
If he wins, and I don’t think he can win except by intimidation, it will represent really an assault by the most simple-minded, extremist elements in the society against the rest of the population…which is fundamentally a recipe for unrest and radicalization. If he loses, the smoldering anger and ugliness he has stoked is unlikely to subside quietly.
Either way, the months and years following November 2016 appear to promise a significant convulsion in American society.
It is important to remember, I think, that revolution is woven into the American character. This is a constant problem for social management. The US exists as a country because of rebellion. We learn about revolution before we learn math. We are taught fundamental rules of guerrilla warfare as adopted by the American rebels against the British, before we are taught grammar. Our heroes are revolutionaries, cowboys, outlaws; and yes, we are confrontational and violent people, with an equal capacity for tremendous compassion and extreme ruthlessness.
We are programmed to be materialists, to be frivolous, to be addicted to entertainment and self-indulgence, precisely to pacify us politically; but when economic conditions do not allow the people to afford such diversions, frankly, the revolutionary nature of Americans makes us very dangerous.
I would not be surprised to see the Open Source Revolution strategy I write about being activated against corporate targets and the interests of the global owners of capital within the United States by factions from both ends of the political spectrum in the next few years.
It seems to me that the drastic wealth inequality and predatory economic policies of corporate power, the “Third Worldization” of the United States, is fomenting popular rebellion. Trump is both a symptom and a driver of unrest in the country that must eventually erupt.
We are entering an age of riots and mayhem, and I think that the global elite will come to regret antagonizing the latent rebelliousness of the American people.